22-10 (9-9 in the nation's best or 2nd best conference)
RPI currently #25
SOS currently #19
4-6 vs RPI top 25 teams.
11-6 vs RPI top 50 teams.
Ohio St. is a lock. You have to remember that 68 teams make the tournament, so no teams that are in the top 40(ish) in both RPI and SOS are going to miss the tournament.
Iowa, Ohio St., Michigan St., Michigan, and Wisconsin are all locks.
Nebraska, Indiana, and Minnesota could all still make the tournament. Nebraska I'll give a 60% chance of making it. Minnesota I'll give a 20% chance of making it. Indiana I'll give a 5% chance of making it.
To drop them to a 10-12 seed would mean you would need 40-48 teams with better resumes. For example, compare them to Memphis who is projected as an 8/9 seed.
21-7 (11-5)
RPI 32
SOS 67
4 wins vs RPI top 25 teams
5-6 wins vs RPI top 50 teams.
Based on those resumes, you can't put Memphis above Ohio St., and there are a handful of teams (Arizona St., Gonzaga, Stanford, etc.).
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