Big 10 is very tough, but I think 11-9 would get us in, maybe 10-10. I'm hoping for more like 12-8.
Under my personal scoring system which gives 1 point for each road win, 0 points for a home win, and -1 point for a home loss, we are at 0. Each plus point times 2 reflects how many games over .500 a team is. So to hit 12-8, we would need to be plus 2.
MSU is at plus 1, so only one ahead of us, which sounds a lot better than 4-0 vs 1-2. In addition their road win is Northwestern, which should be either the easiest or second easiest opponent.